For three decades after independence in 1948, Sri Lanka followed a socialist vision of economic development aimed at dismantling the colonial plantation system. Since 1977, Sri Lanka has incrementally developed its economy, followed import-substitution with export-promotion policies, and now boasts one of the most open trading regimes in South Asia. Nevertheless, this success has not been translated into effectiveness in governance, which remains weak.
More positively, mass education levels are high, and over time this has the potential to turn around Sri Lanka’s poor innovation score, particularly in the number of researchers produced, which should lead to greater economic development.
Sri Lanka’s textile manufacturers have retained a competitive niche in high-quality garments since the expiration of the WTO Agreement on Textiles and Clothing. However, the Sri Lankan government hopes to diversify away from light manufacturing and into IT services, such as call centres, drawing on relatively high levels of English proficiency and good levels of entrepreneurship.
However, Sri Lanka will need to raise currently low levels of capital investment in order to achieve this goal. Moreover, the long-term success of the economy remains dependent on the security situation. A permanent truce with the secessionist Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam remains elusive, and the security situation has deterred foreign investment.